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The Home Field Advantage

" The Home Field Advantage is more pronounced in football than compared with many other international sports. It is well known that based on a very large sample of all the games played in the English Premiership;

48% are Home Wins, 27% are Drawn and 25% are Away Wins.

The percentage figures for matches in other leagues and cup competitions do not differ much from this in large samples.

The odds on two equally matched teams, in terms of ability and league standings, must take into account these home and away win frequencies. The Home Field Advantage is frequently used by bookmakers as the basis for setting the odds. For example, a slightly stronger home team could perhaps be deemed to have a 55% chance of winning the match or a superior away team's chances of a win could be taken to be 37%."

Class and Power Rankings "The next factor that bookmakers usually take into consideration is the Class of the teams that are playing. Class essentially symbolizes a team's overall talent, ability and to a certain ...."

Direct Factors "Direct factors, although directly related to the teams themselves, are sometimes not spotted by the bookmakers and can give you an edge when you figure how the changes will affect the performance of a team. Being familiar with and informed about teams, their players, managers and ..."

Motivation"I rate Motivation to be one of, if not, the most important factor when it comes to placing winning bets. Motivation is the deciding factor when all the usual factors have been taken into account. Different teams are motivated differently in differing degrees at different times and in different situations.

Motivation is a factor that differs greatly depending on the team and the situation. It is thus a more difficult factor for the bookmakers to assimilate correctly into the odds, save for the end of the season when it is obvious which teams are fighting ... "

Game Form "The current form of teams is another factor bookmakers take into consideration when deciding the odds. There are different ways to determine how strong the form of a team is. Most systems use the results of a team's last five matches to arrive at a fair assessment of its current form.

Most systems would give a higher weightage to an away win or draw than to a home win or draw respectively. A typical example would be to give 3 points for a Home Win, 1 point for a Home Draw, 5 for an Away Win and 2 for an Away Draw...."

 

 

 

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